The worst recession but the fastest recovery?

The worst recession but the fastest recovery?

It’s been barely a month since our ministers urged us to brace through this recession. But in the past 2 weeks, there are so much optimism everywhere that the recession is coming to an end within this year. But ain’t it incredible that leaders throughout the world has mentioned time and time again this is the worst depression ever since world war 2.

For the past 2 weeks, US market has been on the rally. Not to mentioned that AIG and Citibank has gained 300% profit in a matter of two weeks. Market rally has been based on the point that Citi’s CEO mentioned that the company is making profit for Jan and Feb in a MEMO. Market rally just base on a MEMO? Ain’t it just incredible? Including the fiasco of Federal Government going to the point of taxing any bonuses paid out by AIG. Executives should know it’s not going to work well with US citizens, afterall, it’s taxpayer money.

Obama has also taken a tough stance towards bonuses payout using bailout money as well as making his point clear that American will ride out of this recession under his leadership. There has also been plan to buy out the toxic asset by Federal. So far, Geithner has been trying to create regulatory reform to the financial sector. I’ll reserve my comments on whether it will work. The housing sector is showing good sign that it is recovering. It is good news for the subprime crisis is root for this recession.

But no matter what, it is far too early to determine if the recession is truly over. Not until the end of the year. But it’s not a bad time to invest with everything on sale right now. Dollar averaging is a good strategy now. Buying Index fund is also a good idea due to low risk and low transaction cost.

Beware of buying on sentiment as the current rally is due to speculation and financial institute has been shorting stocks for this week. It has ended quite badly. So now, I still encourage the buy and hold strategy as the market is already near its bottom and market timing doesn’t really ensures that you can buy at the cheapest price and due to transaction cost.

http://forums.delphiforums.com/sunkopitiam/messages?msg=25314.1